mrdash

polling

Next Train

02:57
Train
S4
Station
Freiberg(Neckar)
Planned
03:00
Expected
03:00
Delay
0 min
~ Might be a bit late
+0.3
min expected
31%
chance late
31
samples
on time delayed
📊 Stats
Model Regression (R² = 0.02)
95% range -5.2 to 8.1 min
Last train was +1 min
Cascade effect Weak cascade effect
Regression coefficients
Hour 0.01
Rush hour 0.5
Previous delay 0.13
Classification model
Accuracy 90%
Precision / Recall 43% / 0%

Reliability

13936 arrivals
On time: 89.9% 5-10 min: 7.2% >10 min: 2.9%

Descriptive Statistics

Mean
+1.9 min
Median
+1 min
Std Dev
±3.4
P90
+6 min
P95
+8 min
Range
-59 to 60

Delay Distribution

Early
19
On time
6479
1-2 min
4172
3-5 min
1862
6-10 min
999
11-15 min
262
16+ min
143

Delay by Hour

+5 0 -5 0:00 - Avg: 1.6 min (151 trains) 0 1:00 - Avg: 0.3 min (75 trains) 2:00 - Avg: 0.4 min (110 trains) 3:00 - Avg: 0.7 min (232 trains) 4:00 - Avg: 0.9 min (488 trains) 4 5:00 - Avg: 1.6 min (690 trains) 6:00 - Avg: 2.1 min (719 trains) 7:00 - Avg: 2.1 min (764 trains) 8:00 - Avg: 1.8 min (798 trains) 8 9:00 - Avg: 1.7 min (785 trains) 10:00 - Avg: 1.7 min (780 trains) 11:00 - Avg: 1.8 min (797 trains) 12:00 - Avg: 2 min (783 trains) 12 13:00 - Avg: 1.9 min (795 trains) 14:00 - Avg: 2.2 min (773 trains) 15:00 - Avg: 2.4 min (769 trains) 16:00 - Avg: 2.8 min (783 trains) 16 17:00 - Avg: 2.5 min (770 trains) 18:00 - Avg: 2.5 min (721 trains) 19:00 - Avg: 2.4 min (575 trains) 20:00 - Avg: 1.1 min (420 trains) 20 21:00 - Avg: 0.7 min (446 trains) 22:00 - Avg: 0.7 min (404 trains) 23:00 - Avg: 0.9 min (308 trains)

Delay by Day of Week

+0.6
Sun
1390
+2
Mon
2065
+2.3
Tue
2105
+2.3
Wed
2097
+2.3
Thu
2105
+2.1
Fri
2050
+1.1
Sat
2124

Arrival Delay History

+6m 0 -1m 03:29 02:01 0 min @ 03:29 0 min @ 03:30 0 min @ 04:29 0 min @ 04:30 0 min @ 05:29 0 min @ 05:30 +5 min @ 06:05 0 min @ 06:29 +3 min @ 06:33 0 min @ 06:59 +1 min @ 07:01 0 min @ 07:29 0 min @ 07:30 0 min @ 07:59 0 min @ 08:00 0 min @ 08:29 0 min @ 08:30 +1 min @ 09:00 0 min @ 09:00 0 min @ 09:29 0 min @ 09:30 +1 min @ 10:00 +5 min @ 10:05 0 min @ 10:29 0 min @ 10:30 0 min @ 10:59 0 min @ 11:00 +2 min @ 11:31 +5 min @ 11:35 0 min @ 11:59 +1 min @ 12:01 0 min @ 12:29 0 min @ 12:30 +2 min @ 13:01 +3 min @ 13:03 0 min @ 13:29 +1 min @ 13:31 0 min @ 13:59 +3 min @ 14:03 +3 min @ 14:32 +3 min @ 14:33 0 min @ 14:59 0 min @ 15:00 0 min @ 15:29 +2 min @ 15:32 0 min @ 15:59 +4 min @ 16:04 0 min @ 16:29 0 min @ 16:30 0 min @ 16:59 +1 min @ 17:01 +2 min @ 17:31 +6 min @ 17:36 +1 min @ 18:00 0 min @ 18:00 0 min @ 18:29 +1 min @ 18:31 +1 min @ 19:00 0 min @ 19:29 0 min @ 19:30 +1 min @ 20:00 0 min @ 20:00 +1 min @ 20:30 0 min @ 20:30 +1 min @ 21:00 0 min @ 21:00 +1 min @ 21:30 0 min @ 21:30 +1 min @ 22:00 +1 min @ 22:30 +2 min @ 23:01 +3 min @ 23:32 +1 min @ 02:01

Recent Checks

Time Train Planned Actual Delay
18.05. 02:00 S4 02:00 02:01 +1
17.05. 23:31 S4 23:29 23:32 +3
17.05. 22:59 S4 22:59 23:01 +2
17.05. 22:29 S4 22:29 22:30 +1
17.05. 21:59 S4 21:59 22:00 +1
17.05. 21:20 S4 21:29 21:30 +1
17.05. 21:29 S4 21:30 21:30 0
17.05. 20:50 S4 20:59 21:00 +1
17.05. 20:58 S4 21:00 21:00 0
17.05. 20:14 S4 20:29 20:30 +1
17.05. 20:27 S4 20:30 20:30 0
17.05. 19:53 S4 19:59 20:00 +1
17.05. 19:54 S4 20:00 20:00 0
17.05. 19:29 S4 19:30 19:30 0
17.05. 19:14 S4 19:29 19:29 0