mrdash

polling

Next Train

02:38
Train
S4
Station
Freiberg(Neckar)
Planned
03:00
Expected
03:00
Delay
0 min
~ Might be a bit late
+1.1
min expected
30%
chance late
57
samples
on time delayed
📊 Stats
Model Regression (R² = 0.02)
95% range -5.4 to 8.3 min
Cascade effect Weak cascade effect
Regression coefficients
Hour 0.01
Rush hour 0.44
Previous delay 0.11
Classification model
Accuracy 90%
Precision / Recall 33% / 0%

Reliability

20788 arrivals
On time: 89.7% 5-10 min: 7.2% >10 min: 3.1%

Descriptive Statistics

Mean
+1.9 min
Median
+1 min
Std Dev
±3.6
P90
+6 min
P95
+8 min
Range
-59 to 60

Delay Distribution

Early
22
On time
9828
1-2 min
6061
3-5 min
2746
6-10 min
1495
11-15 min
407
16+ min
229

Delay by Hour

+5 0 -5 0:00 - Avg: 1.4 min (187 trains) 0 1:00 - Avg: 0.3 min (109 trains) 2:00 - Avg: 0.4 min (185 trains) 3:00 - Avg: 0.9 min (412 trains) 4:00 - Avg: 1 min (832 trains) 4 5:00 - Avg: 1.7 min (1026 trains) 6:00 - Avg: 1.9 min (1090 trains) 7:00 - Avg: 2 min (1143 trains) 8:00 - Avg: 1.9 min (1188 trains) 8 9:00 - Avg: 1.7 min (1169 trains) 10:00 - Avg: 1.9 min (1169 trains) 11:00 - Avg: 2.1 min (1186 trains) 12:00 - Avg: 2.1 min (1162 trains) 12 13:00 - Avg: 2.1 min (1180 trains) 14:00 - Avg: 2.2 min (1151 trains) 15:00 - Avg: 2.6 min (1151 trains) 16:00 - Avg: 2.9 min (1180 trains) 16 17:00 - Avg: 2.4 min (1160 trains) 18:00 - Avg: 2.5 min (1020 trains) 19:00 - Avg: 2.2 min (793 trains) 20:00 - Avg: 0.9 min (649 trains) 20 21:00 - Avg: 0.7 min (656 trains) 22:00 - Avg: 0.8 min (585 trains) 23:00 - Avg: 1 min (405 trains)

Delay by Day of Week

+0.5
Sun
2010
+2.1
Mon
3099
+2.2
Tue
3181
+2.2
Wed
3190
+2.4
Thu
3147
+2.2
Fri
3034
+1.2
Sat
3127

Arrival Delay History

+18m 0 -1m 03:00 02:00 0 min @ 03:00 +1 min @ 03:31 0 min @ 03:44 0 min @ 03:59 0 min @ 04:00 0 min @ 04:15 +2 min @ 04:16 0 min @ 04:30 +4 min @ 04:33 0 min @ 04:45 +3 min @ 04:47 0 min @ 05:00 +2 min @ 05:01 +1 min @ 05:15 0 min @ 05:29 +1 min @ 05:31 +1 min @ 05:45 +1 min @ 06:00 0 min @ 06:15 +4 min @ 06:18 +1 min @ 06:31 +4 min @ 06:33 0 min @ 06:45 +4 min @ 06:48 +1 min @ 07:01 +2 min @ 07:17 +4 min @ 07:18 +1 min @ 07:31 +4 min @ 07:33 0 min @ 07:45 +4 min @ 07:48 +1 min @ 08:01 0 min @ 08:15 +8 min @ 08:22 0 min @ 08:30 +4 min @ 08:33 0 min @ 08:45 +2 min @ 08:46 0 min @ 08:59 +1 min @ 09:01 0 min @ 09:15 +1 min @ 09:15 0 min @ 09:29 +1 min @ 09:31 0 min @ 09:44 0 min @ 09:45 0 min @ 10:00 +1 min @ 10:16 +4 min @ 10:18 0 min @ 10:30 0 min @ 10:45 +18 min @ 10:47 0 min @ 11:00 +4 min @ 11:18 +5 min @ 11:20 +1 min @ 11:31 +5 min @ 11:34 +1 min @ 11:46 +5 min @ 11:49 +2 min @ 12:02 +1 min @ 12:16 +7 min @ 12:21 +5 min @ 12:35 +8 min @ 12:37 0 min @ 12:45 +10 min @ 12:54 +3 min @ 13:03 +6 min @ 13:05 +1 min @ 13:16 +7 min @ 13:21 0 min @ 13:30 +6 min @ 13:35 +1 min @ 13:46 +4 min @ 13:48 +2 min @ 14:01 +1 min @ 14:01 0 min @ 14:14 0 min @ 14:15 +1 min @ 14:31 +9 min @ 14:38 0 min @ 14:45 0 min @ 15:00 +4 min @ 15:03 0 min @ 15:15 +3 min @ 15:17 0 min @ 15:30 +6 min @ 15:35 0 min @ 15:44 +2 min @ 15:47 +1 min @ 16:01 +1 min @ 16:16 +5 min @ 16:19 +3 min @ 16:33 +6 min @ 16:35 0 min @ 16:44 +2 min @ 16:47 +1 min @ 17:01 0 min @ 17:14 0 min @ 17:15 +1 min @ 17:31 +1 min @ 17:46 +3 min @ 17:47 0 min @ 18:00 +2 min @ 18:01 +1 min @ 18:15 0 min @ 18:29 0 min @ 18:30 +2 min @ 18:46 0 min @ 19:00 0 min @ 19:29 +4 min @ 19:34 +1 min @ 20:00 +1 min @ 20:01 +2 min @ 20:31 +1 min @ 21:00 +1 min @ 21:01 0 min @ 21:29 +4 min @ 21:34 +1 min @ 22:00 0 min @ 22:00 0 min @ 22:29 0 min @ 22:59 +2 min @ 23:31 0 min @ 02:00

Recent Checks

Time Train Planned Actual Delay
17.07. 01:59 S4 02:00 02:00 0
16.07. 23:30 S4 23:29 23:31 +2
16.07. 22:58 S4 22:59 22:59 0
16.07. 22:28 S4 22:29 22:29 0
16.07. 21:55 S4 21:59 22:00 +1
16.07. 21:58 S4 22:00 22:00 0
16.07. 21:33 S4 21:30 21:34 +4
16.07. 21:28 S4 21:29 21:29 0
16.07. 21:00 S4 21:00 21:01 +1
16.07. 20:59 S4 20:59 21:00 +1
16.07. 20:30 S4 20:29 20:31 +2
16.07. 20:00 S4 20:00 20:01 +1
16.07. 19:48 S4 19:59 20:00 +1
16.07. 19:33 S4 19:30 19:34 +4
16.07. 19:28 S4 19:29 19:29 0