mrdash

polling

Next Train

05:50
Train
S4
Station
Freiberg(Neckar)
Planned
05:59
Expected
06:00
Delay
+1 min
~ Might be a bit late
+0.5
min expected
26%
chance late
159
samples
on time delayed
📊 Stats
Model Regression (R² = 0.02)
95% range -5.4 to 8.7 min
Last train was +1 min
Cascade effect Weak cascade effect
Regression coefficients
Hour 0.01
Rush hour 0.46
Previous delay 0.12
Classification model
Accuracy 89%
Precision / Recall 18% / 0%

Reliability

32293 arrivals
On time: 89.2% 5-10 min: 7.5% >10 min: 3.3%

Descriptive Statistics

Mean
+2 min
Median
+1 min
Std Dev
±3.6
P90
+6 min
P95
+9 min
Range
-59 to 90

Delay Distribution

Early
23
On time
14877
1-2 min
9643
3-5 min
4256
6-10 min
2438
11-15 min
668
16+ min
388

Delay by Hour

+5 0 -5 0:00 - Avg: 1.4 min (269 trains) 0 1:00 - Avg: 0.5 min (172 trains) 2:00 - Avg: 0.4 min (314 trains) 3:00 - Avg: 0.8 min (690 trains) 4:00 - Avg: 1.3 min (1337 trains) 4 5:00 - Avg: 2 min (1601 trains) 6:00 - Avg: 2 min (1703 trains) 7:00 - Avg: 2.1 min (1766 trains) 8:00 - Avg: 2 min (1835 trains) 8 9:00 - Avg: 1.8 min (1799 trains) 10:00 - Avg: 2 min (1785 trains) 11:00 - Avg: 2.1 min (1823 trains) 12:00 - Avg: 2 min (1781 trains) 12 13:00 - Avg: 2.2 min (1798 trains) 14:00 - Avg: 2.3 min (1767 trains) 15:00 - Avg: 2.7 min (1767 trains) 16:00 - Avg: 3.1 min (1783 trains) 16 17:00 - Avg: 2.5 min (1778 trains) 18:00 - Avg: 2.5 min (1576 trains) 19:00 - Avg: 2 min (1247 trains) 20:00 - Avg: 0.9 min (1084 trains) 20 21:00 - Avg: 0.7 min (1069 trains) 22:00 - Avg: 0.6 min (928 trains) 23:00 - Avg: 1.4 min (621 trains)

Delay by Day of Week

+0.5
Sun
3229
+2.2
Mon
4754
+2.3
Tue
4850
+2.3
Wed
4945
+2.4
Thu
4894
+2.4
Fri
4878
+1.2
Sat
4743

Arrival Delay History

+25m 0 -1m 06:03 05:31 +3 min @ 06:03 +6 min @ 06:05 0 min @ 06:15 +5 min @ 06:19 +2 min @ 06:31 +6 min @ 06:36 0 min @ 06:45 +3 min @ 06:47 +1 min @ 07:01 +1 min @ 07:16 +5 min @ 07:19 +3 min @ 07:32 +3 min @ 07:33 0 min @ 07:45 +4 min @ 07:48 +1 min @ 08:01 0 min @ 08:15 +11 min @ 08:25 0 min @ 08:30 +10 min @ 08:39 0 min @ 08:45 +6 min @ 08:50 0 min @ 08:59 0 min @ 09:00 0 min @ 09:14 0 min @ 09:15 +1 min @ 09:31 +2 min @ 09:31 0 min @ 09:45 +2 min @ 09:46 +2 min @ 10:01 +2 min @ 10:02 0 min @ 10:14 0 min @ 10:15 +1 min @ 10:31 +6 min @ 10:35 +1 min @ 10:46 +5 min @ 10:49 +2 min @ 11:01 +9 min @ 11:09 +1 min @ 11:16 +6 min @ 11:20 +3 min @ 11:32 +2 min @ 11:32 0 min @ 11:45 +3 min @ 11:47 +2 min @ 12:01 +2 min @ 12:02 0 min @ 12:15 +3 min @ 12:17 +1 min @ 12:31 +3 min @ 12:32 +1 min @ 12:46 +14 min @ 12:58 +1 min @ 13:01 +1 min @ 13:15 0 min @ 13:15 +4 min @ 13:34 +10 min @ 13:39 +1 min @ 13:46 +14 min @ 13:58 +10 min @ 14:10 0 min @ 14:15 +1 min @ 14:31 +18 min @ 14:32 +8 min @ 14:37 +4 min @ 14:49 +11 min @ 14:55 0 min @ 15:00 +5 min @ 15:20 +11 min @ 15:25 0 min @ 15:29 +3 min @ 15:33 0 min @ 15:45 +14 min @ 15:58 +1 min @ 16:01 +3 min @ 16:18 +15 min @ 16:29 +1 min @ 16:31 +8 min @ 16:37 +2 min @ 16:47 +20 min @ 17:04 +7 min @ 17:07 +6 min @ 17:20 +5 min @ 17:20 0 min @ 17:30 +11 min @ 17:40 +2 min @ 17:47 +19 min @ 18:03 +6 min @ 18:06 +1 min @ 18:15 0 min @ 18:15 +13 min @ 18:43 0 min @ 18:45 +19 min @ 18:48 +12 min @ 18:56 +5 min @ 19:05 +11 min @ 19:25 0 min @ 19:29 +7 min @ 19:37 +11 min @ 19:55 +1 min @ 20:01 +1 min @ 20:31 +25 min @ 20:54 +1 min @ 21:00 +1 min @ 21:01 0 min @ 21:29 +1 min @ 21:31 +1 min @ 22:00 0 min @ 22:00 0 min @ 22:29 0 min @ 22:30 0 min @ 22:59 0 min @ 23:00 +1 min @ 23:30 0 min @ 23:59 +1 min @ 00:30 0 min @ 01:29 0 min @ 01:30 0 min @ 02:29 0 min @ 02:30 +1 min @ 03:30 0 min @ 04:29 0 min @ 04:30 0 min @ 04:59 +1 min @ 05:01 0 min @ 05:29 +1 min @ 05:31

Recent Checks

Time Train Planned Actual Delay
14.11. 05:30 S4 05:30 05:31 +1
14.11. 05:28 S4 05:29 05:29 0
14.11. 05:00 S4 05:00 05:01 +1
14.11. 04:58 S4 04:59 04:59 0
14.11. 04:02 S4 04:30 04:30 0
14.11. 03:49 S4 04:29 04:29 0
14.11. 03:29 S4 03:29 03:30 +1
14.11. 02:29 S4 02:30 02:30 0
14.11. 02:28 S4 02:29 02:29 0
14.11. 01:29 S4 01:30 01:30 0
14.11. 01:28 S4 01:29 01:29 0
14.11. 00:29 S4 00:29 00:30 +1
13.11. 23:58 S4 23:59 23:59 0
13.11. 23:29 S4 23:29 23:30 +1
13.11. 22:59 S4 23:00 23:00 0