mrdash

polling

Next Train

03:52
Train
S4
Station
Freiberg(Neckar)
Planned
04:00
Expected
04:00
Delay
0 min
~ Might be a bit late
+0.7
min expected
29%
chance late
29
samples
on time delayed
📊 Stats
Model Regression (R² = 0.02)
95% range -5.1 to 8.2 min
Last train was +1 min
Cascade effect Weak cascade effect
Regression coefficients
Hour 0
Rush hour 0.49
Previous delay 0.13
Classification model
Accuracy 90%
Precision / Recall 44% / 1%

Reliability

7094 arrivals
On time: 89.8% 5-10 min: 7.2% >10 min: 3%

Descriptive Statistics

Mean
+1.9 min
Median
+1 min
Std Dev
±3.4
P90
+6 min
P95
+8 min
Range
-48 to 39

Delay Distribution

Early
11
On time
3283
1-2 min
2151
3-5 min
924
6-10 min
509
11-15 min
143
16+ min
73

Delay by Hour

+5 0 -5 0:00 - Avg: 2.1 min (97 trains) 0 1:00 - Avg: 0.3 min (33 trains) 2:00 - Avg: 0.4 min (35 trains) 3:00 - Avg: 0.6 min (80 trains) 4:00 - Avg: 0.7 min (187 trains) 4 5:00 - Avg: 1.6 min (359 trains) 6:00 - Avg: 2.4 min (356 trains) 7:00 - Avg: 2.4 min (380 trains) 8:00 - Avg: 1.8 min (408 trains) 8 9:00 - Avg: 1.7 min (399 trains) 10:00 - Avg: 1.8 min (400 trains) 11:00 - Avg: 1.7 min (409 trains) 12:00 - Avg: 1.8 min (406 trains) 12 13:00 - Avg: 1.6 min (411 trains) 14:00 - Avg: 1.9 min (393 trains) 15:00 - Avg: 2.2 min (399 trains) 16:00 - Avg: 2.4 min (399 trains) 16 17:00 - Avg: 2.5 min (392 trains) 18:00 - Avg: 2.5 min (411 trains) 19:00 - Avg: 2.8 min (321 trains) 20:00 - Avg: 1.1 min (198 trains) 20 21:00 - Avg: 0.7 min (213 trains) 22:00 - Avg: 0.7 min (224 trains) 23:00 - Avg: 0.8 min (184 trains)

Delay by Day of Week

+0.6
Sun
692
+1.9
Mon
1133
+2.3
Tue
1131
+2.3
Wed
1105
+2.2
Thu
991
+2.2
Fri
1018
+1
Sat
1024

Arrival Delay History

+25m 0 -48m 04:00 03:01 0 min @ 04:00 +1 min @ 04:31 0 min @ 04:44 0 min @ 05:00 +3 min @ 05:02 +1 min @ 05:15 0 min @ 05:15 0 min @ 05:29 +2 min @ 05:32 0 min @ 05:45 +1 min @ 05:45 +1 min @ 06:01 0 min @ 06:14 +1 min @ 06:16 0 min @ 06:29 +5 min @ 06:35 +2 min @ 06:47 +4 min @ 06:48 +1 min @ 07:01 +2 min @ 07:17 0 min @ 07:30 +2 min @ 07:31 +1 min @ 07:45 +1 min @ 07:46 +1 min @ 08:00 +3 min @ 08:03 0 min @ 08:14 +1 min @ 08:16 +2 min @ 08:32 +4 min @ 08:33 +1 min @ 08:46 +3 min @ 08:47 +2 min @ 09:02 +4 min @ 09:19 +8 min @ 09:22 +6 min @ 09:35 +6 min @ 09:36 +3 min @ 09:48 0 min @ 10:00 0 min @ 10:15 -48 min @ 10:26 +25 min @ 10:39 +15 min @ 10:45 +21 min @ 10:50 +9 min @ 10:54 +14 min @ 10:58 0 min @ 10:59 +9 min @ 11:09 +5 min @ 11:20 0 min @ 11:30 +3 min @ 11:48 +5 min @ 11:49 +2 min @ 12:02 +1 min @ 12:16 +9 min @ 12:23 0 min @ 12:30 +8 min @ 12:37 +1 min @ 12:45 +1 min @ 12:46 0 min @ 13:00 +1 min @ 13:00 0 min @ 13:15 +4 min @ 13:18 +1 min @ 13:30 0 min @ 13:30 0 min @ 13:44 0 min @ 13:45 +1 min @ 14:00 0 min @ 14:00 0 min @ 14:14 0 min @ 14:15 0 min @ 14:29 0 min @ 14:30 +1 min @ 14:45 0 min @ 14:45 +1 min @ 15:00 0 min @ 15:15 +4 min @ 15:18 +1 min @ 15:31 +3 min @ 15:32 +2 min @ 15:47 +5 min @ 15:49 +1 min @ 16:00 +3 min @ 16:03 +3 min @ 16:18 +4 min @ 16:18 0 min @ 16:30 +5 min @ 16:34 +1 min @ 16:46 +4 min @ 16:48 0 min @ 17:00 +2 min @ 17:01 +1 min @ 17:15 +1 min @ 17:16 0 min @ 17:30 +5 min @ 17:34 0 min @ 17:44 0 min @ 17:45 +1 min @ 18:00 0 min @ 18:15 +6 min @ 18:20 +2 min @ 18:31 +2 min @ 18:32 0 min @ 18:45 +1 min @ 18:45 0 min @ 18:59 +1 min @ 19:01 +13 min @ 19:27 0 min @ 19:30 +3 min @ 19:32 +4 min @ 19:48 +2 min @ 20:02 +4 min @ 20:03 0 min @ 20:29 0 min @ 20:30 0 min @ 20:59 +20 min @ 21:20 +13 min @ 21:42 0 min @ 21:59 +16 min @ 22:16 0 min @ 22:29 +5 min @ 22:35 0 min @ 22:59 +12 min @ 23:12 0 min @ 23:29 0 min @ 23:59 0 min @ 00:29 +1 min @ 03:01

Recent Checks

Time Train Planned Actual Delay
19.03. 03:00 S4 03:00 03:01 +1
19.03. 00:28 S4 00:29 00:29 0
18.03. 23:58 S4 23:59 23:59 0
18.03. 23:01 S4 23:29 23:29 0
18.03. 23:11 S4 23:00 23:12 +12
18.03. 22:58 S4 22:59 22:59 0
18.03. 22:21 S4 22:30 22:35 +5
18.03. 22:00 S4 22:29 22:29 0
18.03. 22:15 S4 22:00 22:16 +16
18.03. 21:43 S4 21:59 21:59 0
18.03. 21:41 S4 21:29 21:42 +13
18.03. 21:00 S4 21:00 21:20 +20
18.03. 20:41 S4 20:59 20:59 0
18.03. 20:16 S4 20:30 20:30 0
18.03. 20:05 S4 20:29 20:29 0