mrdash

polling

Next Train

03:10
Train
S4
Station
Freiberg(Neckar)
Planned
03:30
Expected
03:30
Delay
0 min
~ Might be a bit late
+1.7
min expected
30%
chance late
85
samples
on time delayed
📊 Stats
Model Regression (R² = 0.02)
95% range -5.3 to 8 min
Cascade effect Weak cascade effect
Regression coefficients
Hour 0.01
Rush hour 0.42
Previous delay 0.11
Classification model
Accuracy 91%
Precision / Recall 20% / 0%

Reliability

25199 arrivals
On time: 90.9% 5-10 min: 6.4% >10 min: 2.8%

Descriptive Statistics

Mean
+1.7 min
Median
+1 min
Std Dev
±3.5
P90
+5 min
P95
+8 min
Range
-59 to 90

Delay Distribution

Early
23
On time
12269
1-2 min
7603
3-5 min
3008
6-10 min
1601
11-15 min
440
16+ min
255

Delay by Hour

+5 0 -5 0:00 - Avg: 1.3 min (217 trains) 0 1:00 - Avg: 0.5 min (141 trains) 2:00 - Avg: 0.5 min (252 trains) 3:00 - Avg: 0.8 min (552 trains) 4:00 - Avg: 1 min (1039 trains) 4 5:00 - Avg: 1.6 min (1224 trains) 6:00 - Avg: 1.7 min (1316 trains) 7:00 - Avg: 1.9 min (1364 trains) 8:00 - Avg: 1.8 min (1424 trains) 8 9:00 - Avg: 1.6 min (1391 trains) 10:00 - Avg: 1.8 min (1386 trains) 11:00 - Avg: 1.9 min (1410 trains) 12:00 - Avg: 1.9 min (1382 trains) 12 13:00 - Avg: 1.9 min (1396 trains) 14:00 - Avg: 2.1 min (1371 trains) 15:00 - Avg: 2.4 min (1365 trains) 16:00 - Avg: 2.7 min (1398 trains) 16 17:00 - Avg: 2.2 min (1388 trains) 18:00 - Avg: 2.2 min (1236 trains) 19:00 - Avg: 1.8 min (1005 trains) 20:00 - Avg: 0.8 min (849 trains) 20 21:00 - Avg: 0.7 min (852 trains) 22:00 - Avg: 0.6 min (747 trains) 23:00 - Avg: 1.4 min (494 trains)

Delay by Day of Week

+0.5
Sun
2619
+2
Mon
3743
+2
Tue
3725
+2
Wed
3805
+2.2
Thu
3749
+1.9
Fri
3718
+1.1
Sat
3840

Arrival Delay History

+24m 0 -1m 03:31 03:00 +1 min @ 03:31 0 min @ 03:44 +1 min @ 04:00 0 min @ 04:00 0 min @ 04:14 +1 min @ 04:16 +1 min @ 04:31 +6 min @ 04:35 +2 min @ 04:47 +5 min @ 04:49 +5 min @ 05:05 +4 min @ 05:19 +6 min @ 05:36 +10 min @ 05:39 +1 min @ 05:46 +13 min @ 05:57 +9 min @ 06:09 +7 min @ 06:22 +10 min @ 06:24 +5 min @ 06:35 +12 min @ 06:41 +3 min @ 06:48 +16 min @ 07:00 0 min @ 07:00 +3 min @ 07:18 +7 min @ 07:21 +7 min @ 07:36 +11 min @ 07:41 +2 min @ 07:47 +8 min @ 07:52 +2 min @ 08:01 +14 min @ 08:14 +4 min @ 08:18 +5 min @ 08:20 0 min @ 08:29 +3 min @ 08:33 0 min @ 08:44 0 min @ 08:45 0 min @ 08:59 0 min @ 09:00 0 min @ 09:14 0 min @ 09:15 +1 min @ 09:31 +15 min @ 09:44 +1 min @ 09:46 +4 min @ 10:04 +5 min @ 10:20 +12 min @ 10:26 +1 min @ 10:30 +1 min @ 10:31 0 min @ 10:44 0 min @ 10:45 0 min @ 11:00 0 min @ 11:15 +8 min @ 11:22 +1 min @ 11:31 +3 min @ 11:32 +1 min @ 11:46 +12 min @ 11:56 +1 min @ 12:00 +1 min @ 12:01 0 min @ 12:15 +4 min @ 12:18 0 min @ 12:30 +3 min @ 12:32 0 min @ 12:44 +3 min @ 12:48 0 min @ 12:59 +1 min @ 13:01 +1 min @ 13:16 +3 min @ 13:17 0 min @ 13:30 +3 min @ 13:32 0 min @ 13:45 +5 min @ 13:49 +1 min @ 14:01 +1 min @ 14:16 0 min @ 14:29 +3 min @ 14:33 +24 min @ 14:38 +10 min @ 14:55 +14 min @ 14:58 +1 min @ 15:01 +2 min @ 15:17 +15 min @ 15:29 +4 min @ 15:33 0 min @ 15:45 +4 min @ 15:48 +8 min @ 16:08 +10 min @ 16:09 +2 min @ 16:17 +4 min @ 16:18 +5 min @ 16:35 +13 min @ 16:42 0 min @ 16:45 +5 min @ 16:49 +5 min @ 17:04 +12 min @ 17:12 +2 min @ 17:17 +5 min @ 17:19 +5 min @ 17:35 +6 min @ 17:35 0 min @ 17:45 +2 min @ 17:46 +2 min @ 18:02 +7 min @ 18:21 +1 min @ 18:31 +8 min @ 18:37 +17 min @ 19:01 +2 min @ 19:02 0 min @ 19:29 0 min @ 19:30 0 min @ 19:59 0 min @ 03:00

Recent Checks

Time Train Planned Actual Delay
15.09. 02:59 S4 03:00 03:00 0
14.09. 19:58 S4 19:59 19:59 0
14.09. 19:20 S4 19:30 19:30 0
14.09. 19:19 S4 19:29 19:29 0
14.09. 18:46 S4 19:00 19:02 +2
14.09. 18:38 S4 18:44 19:01 +17
14.09. 18:36 S4 18:29 18:37 +8
14.09. 18:30 S4 18:30 18:31 +1
14.09. 18:20 S4 18:14 18:21 +7
14.09. 18:01 S4 18:00 18:02 +2
14.09. 17:45 S4 17:44 17:46 +2
14.09. 17:41 S4 17:45 17:45 0
14.09. 17:21 S4 17:30 17:35 +5
14.09. 17:22 S4 17:29 17:35 +6
14.09. 17:18 S4 17:14 17:19 +5